HSBC Maintains Bullish Stance on Stocks and Risk Assets Despite Post-Election Rally Stalling
HSBC remains optimistic about stocks and risk assets despite the recent stall in the post-election rally. The bank's perspective is rooted in several supportive factors and strategic considerations:
Earnings and Economic Growth: HSBC notes that low near-term earnings expectations and rising growth forecasts are positive indicators. The bank believes that these factors will continue to support the performance of stocks and risk assets.
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Financial Performance: HSBC has reported strong financial performance, with a profit before tax of $30.3 billion in 2023. This financial strength underpins the bank's bullish stance on stocks and risk assets.
Strategic Positioning: HSBC's investment strategy is based on earnings, interest rates, and growth fundamentals, which remain constructive. The bank advises high net worth and ultra-high net worth clients to take an optimistic view on markets, suggesting that the recent stall in the post-election rally is a temporary setback rather than a long-term trend.
Market Resilience: Emerging markets have shown resilience despite challenges such as higher-for-longer interest rates and a stronger US dollar. This resilience is a positive sign for global markets and supports HSBC's bullish outlook.
Historical Trends: Historically, US equities tend to rally by 3% in the six months prior to elections and further by 8% post-election. This historical trend supports the idea that the recent stall is a temporary phenomenon and that markets will recover and continue to perform well.
Strategic Advice: HSBC Global Private Banking continues to advise clients to consider taking on more risk and putting their cash to work. This advice is based on the belief that the current market conditions, despite the stall, present opportunities for growth.
In summary, HSBC remains bullish on stocks and risk assets, even as the post-election rally has stalled. The bank's optimism is supported by strong financial performance, favorable economic and earnings forecasts, and historical market trends. HSBC advises clients to remain optimistic and consider taking advantage of current market conditions.